Sport Picks

Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup Kretinga Stadium, Kretinga

FK Minija

2 - 1

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Match Events

Komissarov N.

16'

Aderounmu K.

28'

Kurtsev O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with FK Minija advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FK Minija

Draws

FK Panevezys

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and FK Minija come out ahead of FK Panevezys on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
FK Minija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FK Panevezys, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and FK Panevezys have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%

FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Minija	FK Panevezys
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	21	11
Draws	2	5
Losses	5	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	0.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Lithuanian Cup

FK Minija vs FK Panevezys

2:1

Jul 30, 2016 I Lyga

FK Minija vs FK Panevezys

2:4

Apr 2, 2016 I Lyga

FK Panevezys vs FK Minija

2:0

Aug 23, 2015 I Lyga

FK Panevezys vs FK Minija

2:1

May 9, 2015 I Lyga

FK Minija vs FK Panevezys

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Komissarov N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pipiras D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100

FK Panevezys 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Minija FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Minija stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FK Minija's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Panevezys conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS FK Panevezys

1.38 Goals Scored 1

0.5 Goals Conceded 2

50% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)

18 Jul

FK Minija

2 : 1

Jonava

26 Jun

Garliava

0 : 1

FK Minija

23 Jun

FK Minija

2 : 1

FK Panevezys

20 Jun

FK Atmosfera

0 : 1

FK Minija

13 Jun

FK Minija

3 : 0

BFA Vilnius

Page 1 of 6

FK Panevezys

(Away)

23 Jul

FK Panevezys

1 : 1

Tobol

11 Jul

FK Kauno Zalgiris

3 : 0

FK Panevezys

04 Jul

FK Panevezys

1 : 1

FC Hegelmann

29 Jun

FK Panevezys

1 : 2

Suduva

23 Jun

FK Minija

2 : 1

FK Panevezys

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/16-finals

Pempininkai2

Sirijus1

FK Minija3

Suduva2

FK Atmosfera2

Zalgiris1

SSPC FSK Radviliskis0

FK Panevezys2

Klaipedos FM1

BE1 NFA0

Viltis Vilnius1

Dainava Alytus7

Kursenai1

Transinvest10

Tauras Taurage1

FC Hegelmann4

Ataka Vilnius4

FK Sirvena Birzai0

Jonava0

FA Siauliai4

Neptunas0

Dziugas Telsiai2

Vilniaus Vytis0

Banga4

BFA Vilnius1

FK Babrungas0

AFK Vilnius0

Garliava3

Vilnius FA0

Riteriai1

FK Sveikata Kybartai0

FK Kauno Zalgiris3

1/8-finals

Pempininkai1

FK Minija4

FK Atmosfera0

FK Panevezys3

Klaipedos FM0

Dainava Alytus2

Transinvest2

FC Hegelmann0

Ataka Vilnius1

FA Siauliai2

Dziugas Telsiai1

Banga0

BFA Vilnius2

Garliava1

Riteriai0

FK Kauno Zalgiris4

Quarter-finals

FK Minija2

FK Panevezys1

Dainava Alytus2

Transinvest1

FA Siauliai2

Dziugas Telsiai1

BFA Vilnius0

FK Kauno Zalgiris3

Semi-finals

FK Minija-

Dainava Alytus-

FA Siauliai-

FK Kauno Zalgiris-

Final

TBD-