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FK Minija vs Gariunai Vilnius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2009/2010
FK Minija Logo

FK Minija

Sun, May 17, 2009
1 - 0
12:00 PM
Gariunai Vilnius Logo

Gariunai Vilnius

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this Lithuanian Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
24%
Gariunai Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Minija lately — more wins on the board than Gariunai Vilnius.
  • FK Minija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FK Minija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Minija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
Gariunai Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Gariunai Vilnius
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 27 5
Draws 1 0
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.7 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Lithuanian Cup
FK Minija vs Gariunai Vilnius
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
Gariunai Vilnius 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Gariunai Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

FK Minija has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gariunai Vilnius let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Gariunai Vilnius's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

Gariunai Vilnius

(Away)
03 Sept
Druskininkai
3 : 0
Gariunai Vilnius
30 Jul
Gariunai Vilnius
2 : 0
Tera Vilnius
09 Sept
Gariunai Vilnius
1 : 2
Silute
08 Aug
Gariunai Vilnius
0 : 1
Granitas Klaipeda
08 Jun
Adiada Siauliai
0 : 5
Gariunai Vilnius
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ekranas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nevezis Kedainiai 5
FK Minija 1
FK Klaipeda 0
Silute 2
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alytis 2
LiCS Vilnius 1
Atlantas 0
FBK Kaunas 2
Suduva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris 2
Jonava 1
Stickers Vilnius 0
Kursenai 3
Visas Kaunas 3
Faze Vilnius 0
FK Atmosfera 2
Sakuona Plikiai 3
Tauras Taurage -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Atletas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vetra -
1/16-finals
Ekranas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
TBD -
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Silute 5
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
TBD -
Alytis 1
FBK Kaunas 5
Suduva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris 3
Kursenai 2
Visas Kaunas 2
Sakuona Plikiai 4
Tauras Taurage -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Atletas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vetra -
1/8-finals
Ekranas -
TBD -
Kruoja 1
Silute 2
Siauliai -
TBD -
Banga 0
FBK Kaunas 4
Suduva -
TBD -
Zalgiris 1
Sakuona Plikiai 2
Tauras Taurage 2
FK Atletas 1
TBD -
Vetra -
Quarter-finals
Ekranas 2
Silute 1
Siauliai 0
FBK Kaunas 3
Suduva 8
Sakuona Plikiai 2
Tauras Taurage 1
Vetra 2
Semi-finals
Ekranas 4
FBK Kaunas 1
Suduva 3
Vetra 4
Final
Ekranas 2
Vetra 1