Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Minija vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Paulauskas A.
69' Event
Mucinis E.
(Penalty)
75' Event
Andrijauskas E.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2016 game between FK Minija and Lokomotyvas Radviliskis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
34%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Minija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Minija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lokomotyvas Radviliskis have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 27 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 3 20
Goals Scored 2.68 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2016 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs FK Minija
5:1
Jul 2, 2016 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
2:1
Sep 6, 2015 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
0:2
May 24, 2015 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs FK Minija
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulauskas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrijauskas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Minija scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Solid form: FK Minija remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
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Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

(Away)
23 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
5 : 1
FK Minija
16 Oct
Marijampole City
7 : 0
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
08 Oct
Silute
1 : 1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
02 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
4 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Sept
FK Krazante Kelme
2 : 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marijampole City 30 23 3 4 95:25 72
2 Palanga 30 21 7 2 96:29 70
3 Vilniaus Vytis 30 19 3 8 102:34 60
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 30 17 9 4 76:38 60
5 FK Panevezys 30 17 8 5 68:35 59
6 Banga 30 15 7 8 62:31 52
7 Dziugas Telsiai 30 15 3 12 51:44 48
8 Zalgiris 2 30 14 3 13 62:61 45
9 Dainava Alytus 30 13 4 13 57:46 43
10 FC Hegelmann 30 13 3 14 55:56 42
11 Riteriai 2 30 9 3 18 44:59 30
12 Silute 30 8 6 16 38:60 30
13 FK Krazante Kelme 30 8 4 18 47:86 28
14 Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 30 6 5 19 42:86 23
15 FBK Kaunas 30 4 1 25 25:134 13
16 FK Minija 30 3 1 26 27:123 10
Promotion - A Lyga 2017 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2016 (Relegation)