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FK Minija vs Svyturys Marijampole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2009/2010
Wed, Jun 24, 2009
3 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this Lithuanian Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
24%
Svyturys Marijampole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Minija lately — more wins on the board than Svyturys Marijampole.
  • FK Minija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FK Minija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Minija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Svyturys Marijampole
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 27 11
Draws 1 0
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.77 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2009 Lithuanian Cup
FK Minija vs Svyturys Marijampole
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
Svyturys Marijampole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Svyturys Marijampole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Svyturys Marijampole has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

FK Minija went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

Svyturys Marijampole

(Away)
25 May
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
Riteriai
20 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
1 : 10
Suduva
05 Jul
Svyturys Marijampole
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Jun
Krusa Basica Vilnius
1 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
25 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
FBK Kaunas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ekranas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nevezis Kedainiai 5
FK Minija 1
FK Klaipeda 0
Silute 2
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alytis 2
LiCS Vilnius 1
Atlantas 0
FBK Kaunas 2
Suduva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris 2
Jonava 1
Stickers Vilnius 0
Kursenai 3
Visas Kaunas 3
Faze Vilnius 0
FK Atmosfera 2
Sakuona Plikiai 3
Tauras Taurage -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Atletas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vetra -
1/16-finals
Ekranas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
TBD -
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Silute 5
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
TBD -
Alytis 1
FBK Kaunas 5
Suduva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris 3
Kursenai 2
Visas Kaunas 2
Sakuona Plikiai 4
Tauras Taurage -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Atletas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vetra -
1/8-finals
Ekranas -
TBD -
Kruoja 1
Silute 2
Siauliai -
TBD -
Banga 0
FBK Kaunas 4
Suduva -
TBD -
Zalgiris 1
Sakuona Plikiai 2
Tauras Taurage 2
FK Atletas 1
TBD -
Vetra -
Quarter-finals
Ekranas 2
Silute 1
Siauliai 0
FBK Kaunas 3
Suduva 8
Sakuona Plikiai 2
Tauras Taurage 1
Vetra 2
Semi-finals
Ekranas 4
FBK Kaunas 1
Suduva 3
Vetra 4
Final
Ekranas 2
Vetra 1