Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Mykolaiv vs Fazenda

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Klym B.
39' Event
Ivanyshyn P.
49' Event
Kachor M.

AI Match Summary

FK Mykolaiv in this Ukrainian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FK Mykolaiv
11%
Draws
9%
Fazenda
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FK Mykolaiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Mykolaiv have won more games recently than Fazenda.
  • FK Mykolaiv are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • FK Mykolaiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Mykolaiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
FK Mykolaiv Clean Sheet 20%
Fazenda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Mykolaiv Fazenda
Matches Played 7 2
Wins 4 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.29 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 Ukrainian Cup
FK Mykolaiv vs Fazenda
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Mykolaiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlovskyi P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klym B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fazenda Compare

Top Goalscorer Solomyan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Mykolaiv 76 / 100
Fazenda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Mykolaiv Fazenda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Mykolaiv's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Fazenda has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Mykolaiv remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Mykolaiv VS Fazenda
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 3.5
71% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Mykolaiv

(Home)
15 Feb
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1
FK Mykolaiv
21 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
1 : 2
Bukovyna
11 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
3 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
03 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
1 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
15 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
1 : 3
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Page 1 of 2

Fazenda

(Away)
23 Aug
Fazenda
0 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
29 Jul
FK Mykolaiv
6 : 1
Fazenda

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
FK Mykolaiv6
Fazenda1
TBD-
Bukovyna-
Nyva Vinnytsya-
TBD-
TBD-
Ahrobiznes Volochysk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Dnipro-1-
Skala 1911-
TBD-
TBD-
Khust-
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi-
TBD-
TBD-
Nyva Ternopil-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rukh Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
Zvyagel-
TBD-
TBD-
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka-
Sturm Ivankiv1
UCSA2
TBD-
Kudrivka-Nyva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Obolon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Trostyanets-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Pharma Odesa-
Hirnyk-Sport-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Poltava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Kharkiv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vorskla Poltava-
Inhulets-
TBD-
TBD-
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya-
Victoria-
TBD-
TBD-
Druzhba Myrivka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minaj-
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)-
TBD-
TBD-
Karpaty Lviv-
Metalist Kharkiv-
TBD-
TBD-
Epitsentr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Veres Rivne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Lokomotyv Kyiv-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinaz Vyshgorod-
FC Chernihiv-
TBD-
TBD-
Livyi Bereg-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ch. Odesa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kryvbas-
Olympia Savyntsi0
Kudrivka1
TBD-
Kremin-
VAST Mykolaiv-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix Mariupol-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kolos Kovalivka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zorya-
1/64-finals
FK Mykolaiv1
Bukovyna0
Nyva Vinnytsya0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Dnipro-1-
Skala 19115
Khust2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi0
Nyva Ternopil1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rukh Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
Zvyagel5
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
UCSA2
Kudrivka-Nyva1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Obolon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Trostyanets3
Real Pharma Odesa0
Hirnyk-Sport1
SC Poltava0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Kharkiv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vorskla Poltava-
Inhulets4
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya3
Victoria2
Druzhba Myrivka1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minaj-
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2
Karpaty Lviv1
Metalist Kharkiv1
Epitsentr2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Veres Rivne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Dinaz Vyshgorod0
FC Chernihiv1
Livyi Bereg2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ch. Odesa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kryvbas-
Kudrivka3
Kremin0
VAST Mykolaiv2
Fenix Mariupol5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kolos Kovalivka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zorya-
1/32-finals
FK Mykolaiv1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Dnipro-1-
Skala 19112
Nyva Ternopil1
TBD-
Rukh Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
Zvyagel4
UCSA0
TBD-
Obolon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Trostyanets1
Hirnyk-Sport2
TBD-
FC Kharkiv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vorskla Poltava-
Inhulets0
Victoria1
TBD-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minaj-
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)1
Epitsentr2
TBD-
Veres Rivne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Lokomotyv Kyiv0
Livyi Bereg2
TBD-
Ch. Odesa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kryvbas-
Kudrivka2
Fenix Mariupol3
TBD-
Kolos Kovalivka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zorya-
1/16-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0
Polissya Zhytomyr2
TBD-
SK Dnipro-1-
Skala 19110
Rukh Lviv2
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
Zvyagel0
Obolon1
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Hirnyk-Sport1
FC Kharkiv3
TBD-
Vorskla Poltava-
Victoria1
LNZ Cherkasy0
TBD-
Minaj-
Epitsentr1
Veres Rivne3
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Livyi Bereg1
Ch. Odesa2
TBD-
Kryvbas-
Fenix Mariupol3
Kolos Kovalivka2
TBD-
Zorya-
1/8-finals
Polissya Zhytomyr2
SK Dnipro-11
Rukh Lviv0
Oleksandriya1
Obolon1
Dynamo Kyiv0
FC Kharkiv0
Vorskla Poltava3
Victoria1
Minaj0
Veres Rivne0
Shakhtar3
Ch. Odesa2
Kryvbas1
Fenix Mariupol0
Zorya1
Quarter-finals
Polissya Zhytomyr1
Oleksandriya0
Obolon0
Vorskla Poltava3
Victoria0
Shakhtar3
Ch. Odesa4
Zorya1
Semi-finals
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Vorskla Poltava1
Shakhtar4
Ch. Odesa1
Final
Vorskla Poltava1
Shakhtar2