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FK Olaine vs Riga United

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2013/2014
FK Olaine Logo

FK Olaine

4 - 0
FT
Riga United Logo

Riga United

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Mihailovs A.
54' Event
Plukaitis D.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Pucinskijs J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with FK Olaine advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FK Olaine
15%
Draws
51%
Riga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga United come out ahead of FK Olaine on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Riga United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Olaine, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
FK Olaine Clean Sheet 16%
Riga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Olaine Riga United
Matches Played 6 17
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 0.83 2.06
Goals Conceded 1 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2013 Latvian Cup
FK Olaine vs Riga United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihailovs A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pucinskijs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Riga United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Olaine 31 / 100
Riga United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Olaine Riga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Riga United conceded in 76% of 17 recent games.

FK Olaine's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

FK Olaine has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Olaine VS Riga United
1.33 Goals Scored 2.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 3.25
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Olaine

(Home)
06 Jul
FK Olaine
0 : 1
FK 1625 Liepaja
12 Jun
FK Olaine
4 : 0
Riga United
29 May
FK Olaine
0 : 1
Iecava
15 Aug
FK Stameriena
3 : 0
FK Olaine
26 Jul
FK Olaine
1 : 0
Viesulis
Page 1 of 2

Riga United

(Away)
21 Jun
Riga United
0 : 3
Marupe
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
19 May
Riga United
3 : 2
Kadaga/Ostas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0