Sport Picks

Lithuania

TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium

FK Panevezys

1 - 1

FC Hegelmann

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Sub

Veliulis E. In: van den Bos M.

Out: Veliulis E.

49'

Ramanauskas M.

60'

Sub

Kurtsev O. In: Petkevicius N.

Out: Kurtsev O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

FK Panevezys

30%

Draws

34%

FC Hegelmann

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

FC Hegelmann haven't matched FK Panevezys's recent run of results.
Model gives FK Panevezys a 36% chance of winning this.
Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 16%

FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Panevezys	FC Hegelmann
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	7
Draws	4	12
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	2	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 TOPLYGA

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

May 6, 2026 TOPLYGA

FC Hegelmann vs FK Panevezys

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sep 28, 2025 Lithuanian Cup

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Sep 21, 2025 TOPLYGA

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacanin M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Njoya A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 36 / 100

FC Hegelmann 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Panevezys FC Hegelmann

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

FK Panevezys scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Panevezys stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS FC Hegelmann

1 Goals Scored 1

2 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	19	8	7	4	34:15	31
2	Banga	19	8	6	5	22:14	30
3	Suduva	19	7	9	3	21:16	30
4	Dziugas Telsiai	19	8	6	5	28:22	30
5	Transinvest	19	8	5	6	28:25	29
6	Zalgiris	19	8	4	7	27:21	28
7	FC Hegelmann	19	3	10	6	20:29	19
8	FK Panevezys	20	5	4	11	18:37	19
9	FA Siauliai	19	2	7	10	18:37	13
10	Riteriai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0