Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Pardubice vs Jablonec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Icha M.
Own Goal
43'
Noslin J.
45' Event
Chramosta J.
Assist: Suchan J.

AI Match Summary

Jablonec in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jablonec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
FK Pardubice
15%
Draws
67%
Jablonec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jablonec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Jablonec have won more games recently than FK Pardubice.
  • Model gives Jablonec a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jablonec have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 17%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pardubice Jablonec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Jablonec
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Jablonec
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs FK Pardubice
3:2
Apr 13, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs FK Pardubice
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Jablonec
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pardubice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jablonec Compare

Top Goalscorer Chramosta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pardubice 28 / 100
Jablonec 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pardubice Jablonec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jablonec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Pardubice scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Jablonec has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FK Pardubice has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Pardubice VS Jablonec
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pardubice

(Home)
15 Aug
FK Pardubice
1 : 1
Mlada Boleslav
09 Aug
Slavia Prague
2 : 1
FK Pardubice
02 Aug
FK Pardubice
0 : 2
Jablonec
26 Jul
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1
FK Pardubice
18 Jul
Jihlava
0 : 5
FK Pardubice
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Jablonec

(Away)
13 Aug
RFS
1 : 2
Jablonec
09 Aug
Jablonec
1 : 0
Slovacko
06 Aug
Jablonec
2 : 0
RFS
02 Aug
FK Pardubice
0 : 2
Jablonec
30 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 0
Varazdin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
2 Jablonec 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Mlada Boleslav 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
4 Liberec 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Hradec Kralove 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
6 Sigma Olomouc 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Teplice 4 2 1 1 10:10 7
8 Sparta Prague 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
9 Ostrava 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
10 Plzen 4 1 2 1 10:11 5
11 Brno 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
12 Bohemians 1905 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
13 Artis Brno 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
14 FK Pardubice 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
15 Slovacko 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Zlin 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)