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Stadium Background

FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Patrak V.
16'
Majer A.
18'
Godwin E.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between FK Pardubice and Mlada Boleslav finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FK Pardubice
15%
Draws
41%
Mlada Boleslav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pardubice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • FK Pardubice haven't matched Mlada Boleslav's recent run of results.
  • FK Pardubice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 12%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pardubice Mlada Boleslav
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.17 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs FK Pardubice
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
2:1
May 17, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pardubice Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrak V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mlada Boleslav Compare

Top Goalscorer Subert M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pardubice 83 / 100
Mlada Boleslav 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pardubice Mlada Boleslav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pardubice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pardubice scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FK Pardubice has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Mlada Boleslav conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Pardubice VS Mlada Boleslav
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pardubice

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Pardubice
4 : 1
Zizkov
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
05 Sept
Slovacko
0 : 0
FK Pardubice
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Mlada Boleslav

(Away)
02 Oct
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 1
Pribram
19 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Brno
15 Sept
Trinec
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)