Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Pehchevo vs Detonit Plackovica

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with FK Pehchevo averaging 1.0 xG at home and Detonit Plackovica producing 1.8 xG on their travels. Detonit Plackovica will likely drop deep and defend, forcing FK Pehchevo to find a way to break them down. A single goal could decide this. The Under 3.5 goals market offers solid value. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FK Pehchevo
15%
Draws
47%
Detonit Plackovica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Detonit Plackovica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Pehchevo picked up more points recently compared to Detonit Plackovica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
FK Pehchevo Clean Sheet 11%
Detonit Plackovica Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pehchevo Detonit Plackovica
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

16.04.22 2. MFL
FK Pehchevo vs Detonit Plackovica
0:1
20.11.21 2. MFL
Detonit Plackovica vs FK Pehchevo
1:0
29.08.21 2. MFL
FK Pehchevo vs Detonit Plackovica
4:1
06.04.19 2. MFL
FK Pehchevo vs Detonit Plackovica
3:0
24.11.18 2. MFL
FK Pehchevo vs Detonit Plackovica
4:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

FK Pehchevo

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Detonit Plackovica

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pehchevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
6 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
4 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.6

Detonit Plackovica Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
13 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
10 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.31

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Detonit Plackovica • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder FK Pehchevo • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Detonit Plackovica • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker FK Pehchevo • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pehchevo 36 / 100
Detonit Plackovica 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pehchevo Detonit Plackovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Detonit Plackovica or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

FK Pehchevo will likely press early to force mistakes.

FK Pehchevo 59%
Detonit Plackovica 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Detonit Plackovica should settle down and try to slow the pace.

FK Pehchevo 54%
Detonit Plackovica 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

FK Pehchevo 51%
Detonit Plackovica 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect FK Pehchevo to push more players wide.

FK Pehchevo 56%
Detonit Plackovica 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

FK Pehchevo 51%
Detonit Plackovica 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

FK Pehchevo 62%
Detonit Plackovica 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Pehchevo attacking → ← attacking Detonit Plackovica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pehchevo have scored in 88% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Detonit Plackovica concede most goals (51%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 23 shots per game, well above the league median.

FK Pehchevo are unbeaten in 6 straight matches when scoring first.

Detonit Plackovica have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 9 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: FK Pehchevo wants a European spot, while Detonit Plackovica is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 56
0.97 Goals expected (xG) 1.80
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2