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FK Pobeda vs Alania 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024
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Match Events

12' Event
Akhyadov B.
23' Event
Bartsev I. A.

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Pobeda
15%
Draws
0%
Alania 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Pobeda lately — more wins on the board than Alania 2.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FK Pobeda taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alania 2 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 20%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Alania 2
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.6 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Alania 2
2:0
May 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs FK Pobeda
3:2
Oct 1, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs FK Pobeda
3:2
Aug 19, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Alania 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Akhyadov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bartsev I. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Alania 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 85 / 100
Alania 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Alania 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pobeda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alania 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Difficult form: Alania 2 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

FK Pobeda found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pobeda

(Home)
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
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Alania 2

(Away)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)