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FK Riga 2 vs Jelgava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2005
FK Riga 2 Logo

FK Riga 2

0 - 3
FT
Jelgava Logo

Jelgava

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2005 game between FK Riga 2 and Jelgava finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Riga 2
20%
Draws
33%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Riga 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Riga 2 come out ahead of Jelgava on wins alone.
  • Model gives FK Riga 2 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jelgava here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FK Riga 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Riga 2 Jelgava
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2006 1. Liga
Jelgava vs FK Riga 2
2:0
May 28, 2006 1. Liga
FK Riga 2 vs Jelgava
3:2
Oct 29, 2005 1. Liga
Jelgava vs FK Riga 2
2:0
Jul 23, 2005 1. Liga
FK Riga 2 vs Jelgava
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Riga 2 84 / 100
Jelgava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Riga 2 Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Riga 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Riga 2 found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Jelgava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FK Riga 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Riga 2

(Home)
04 Nov
Tranzits
1 : 2
FK Riga 2
28 Oct
FK Riga 2
12 : 2
Abuls
22 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
FK Riga 2
14 Oct
FK Riga 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
08 Oct
Ditton 2
2 : 1
FK Riga 2
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Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skonto 2 26 20 5 1 81:18 65
2 Ventspils 2 26 15 7 4 98:25 52
3 Blazma 26 15 3 8 68:43 48
4 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 26 14 5 7 57:23 47
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 26 14 5 7 59:28 47
6 Valmiera 26 9 8 9 37:39 35
7 JFC Skonto 26 8 11 7 44:31 35
8 FK Riga 2 26 10 5 11 33:41 35
9 FK Jurmala VV 2 26 9 7 10 48:48 34
10 Zibens Zemessardze 26 7 8 11 45:56 29
11 Jelgava 26 8 2 16 43:59 26
12 FK Auda Riga 26 8 2 16 27:46 26
13 FK Alberts 26 5 3 18 39:111 18
14 Ogre 26 3 3 20 30:141 12
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