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Stadium Background

FK Riltzi vs Spartak Varna II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Riltzi in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Riltzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FK Riltzi
33%
Draws
40%
Spartak Varna II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Spartak Varna II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Varna II haven't matched FK Riltzi's recent run of results.
  • Spartak Varna II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Varna II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Riltzi Spartak Varna II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Spartak Varna II
4:3
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs FK Riltzi
3:1
May 24, 2025 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs FK Riltzi
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Spartak Varna II
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Spartak Varna II
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Riltzi 26 / 100
Spartak Varna II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Riltzi Spartak Varna II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spartak Varna II conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Spartak Varna II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

FK Riltzi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Riltzi VS Spartak Varna II
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291