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FK Riltzi vs Ustrem Donchevo Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Riltzi in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Riltzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
FK Riltzi
15%
Draws
12%
Ustrem Donchevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Riltzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ustrem Donchevo have won more games recently than FK Riltzi.
  • Win probability leans FK Riltzi's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Riltzi Ustrem Donchevo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.1 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Ustrem Donchevo
4:1
May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:4
Feb 14, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs FK Riltzi
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Ustrem Donchevo
3:1
Oct 12, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs FK Riltzi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Riltzi 40 / 100
Ustrem Donchevo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Riltzi Ustrem Donchevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ustrem Donchevo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ustrem Donchevo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

FK Riltzi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Riltzi VS Ustrem Donchevo
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Riltzi

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

Ustrem Donchevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 1 5 4:17 1
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