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FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Rostov Arena, Rostov
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
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AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Akron Togliatti have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while FK Rostov have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, FK Rostov have won 4 to Akron Togliatti's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.44) point toward FK Rostov. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FK Rostov
20%
Draws
36%
Akron Togliatti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Rostov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Rostov lately — more wins on the board than Akron Togliatti.
  • Win probability leans Akron Togliatti's way, sitting at 40%.
  • FK Rostov have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Akron Togliatti, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Rostov here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 16%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Rostov Akron Togliatti
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
1:0
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
0:4
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Rostov 28 / 100
Akron Togliatti 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Rostov Akron Togliatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akron Togliatti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Rostov scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Akron Togliatti let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FK Rostov has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Rostov VS Akron Togliatti
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Rostov

(Home)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

Akron Togliatti

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)