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FK Rostov vs Dynamo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Rostov Arena, Rostov
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Match Events

1'
Caceres J.
8'
Arthur Gomes
16'
Semenchuk D.

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Moscow in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dynamo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
FK Rostov
15%
Draws
61%
Dynamo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dynamo Moscow lately — more wins on the board than FK Rostov.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Dynamo Moscow taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 12%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Rostov Dynamo Moscow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Dynamo Moscow
0:3
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Dynamo Moscow
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs FK Rostov
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1
Feb 10, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Dynamo Moscow
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Rostov Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Dynamo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyukavin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okishor V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Rostov 10 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Rostov Dynamo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Rostov's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dynamo Moscow let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FK Rostov stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Rostov VS Dynamo Moscow
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Rostov

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0
CSKA Moscow
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Dynamo Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)