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FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Arsenal Tula 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Grigorjev D.
Own Goal
40' Event
Kolyshev A.
62' Event
Mukhin E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between FK Shumbrat Saransk and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tula 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
30%
Draws
23%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 4 11
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
1:1
May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusupov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolyshev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 31 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Shumbrat Saransk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Arsenal Tula 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

FK Shumbrat Saransk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS Arsenal Tula 2
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
M. Lipetsk
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
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Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
29 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
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