Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

Match Events

14'

Semin D.

17'

Ermilov V.

53'

Khamidullin T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Shumbrat Saransk host M. Lipetsk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FK Shumbrat Saransk have averaged 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against M. Lipetsk's 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Shumbrat Saransk have won 0 to M. Lipetsk's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:5. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.75, favoring FK Shumbrat Saransk. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

FK Shumbrat Saransk

11%

Draws

M. Lipetsk

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

M. Lipetsk has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FK Shumbrat Saransk.
Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for FK Shumbrat Saransk.
League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 12%

M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Shumbrat Saransk	M. Lipetsk
Matches Played	16	30
Wins	10	13
Draws	2	7
Losses	4	10
Goals Scored	2.25	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

FK Shumbrat Saransk vs M. Lipetsk

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamidullin T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

M. Lipetsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Semin D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ermilov V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 74 / 100

M. Lipetsk 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Shumbrat Saransk M. Lipetsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk scored in 94% of their last 16 games.

M. Lipetsk let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

FK Shumbrat Saransk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

M. Lipetsk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS M. Lipetsk

2.25 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 63%