Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Smiltene vs Albatroz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sitjakovs R.
26' Event
Rullis R.
30' Event
Sitjakovs R.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2021 game between FK Smiltene and Albatroz finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albatroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FK Smiltene
20%
Draws
46%
Albatroz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Albatroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Smiltene haven't matched Albatroz's recent run of results.
  • Albatroz are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
Albatroz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene Albatroz
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2021 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Albatroz
2:4
Aug 4, 2021 1. Liga
Albatroz vs FK Smiltene
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Rullis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jansons E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Albatroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitjakovs R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bashkevich M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 26 / 100
Albatroz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene Albatroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albatroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

FK Smiltene found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Albatroz has conceded goals in 63% of their last 24 outings.

FK Smiltene went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

Albatroz

(Away)
20 Oct
Dinamo Riga
1 : 4
Albatroz
16 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 0
Albatroz
09 Oct
FK Smiltene
2 : 4
Albatroz
03 Oct
Super Nova
0 : 0
Albatroz
25 Sept
Albatroz
1 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Auda Riga 13 9 4 0 35:4 31
2 Tukums 2000 14 8 4 2 27:12 28
3 Super Nova 13 7 2 4 26:24 23
4 Rezekne 14 6 3 5 21:22 21
5 Albatroz 14 4 7 3 21:12 19
6 Grobina 14 5 4 5 19:25 19
7 Saldus SS/Leevon 14 3 4 7 12:18 13
8 Dinamo Riga 14 3 3 8 13:23 12
9 Alberts JDFS 14 2 6 6 12:19 12
10 FK Smiltene 14 2 3 9 19:46 9
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Main)
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2021 (Relegation)