Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene

2 - 3

Alberts JDFS

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Ozolins R.

28'

Pirktins K.

35'

Gaismins V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alberts JDFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

FK Smiltene

28%

Draws

50%

Alberts JDFS

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

FK Smiltene haven't matched Alberts JDFS's recent run of results.
Model gives Alberts JDFS a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Alberts JDFS have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Smiltene	Alberts JDFS
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	6	17
Draws	7	7
Losses	19	7
Goals Scored	1.38	2.5
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Jul 27, 2025 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

2:4

Jun 1, 2025 Latvian Cup

Alberts JDFS vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

5:3

Mar 29, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Aug 3, 2024 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaismins V.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozolins R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Pirktins K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 22 / 100

Alberts JDFS 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Smiltene Alberts JDFS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FK Smiltene scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Alberts JDFS has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: FK Smiltene remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS Alberts JDFS

1.38 Goals Scored 2.5

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	25:10	28
4	Leevon PPK	12	7	3	2	20:15	24
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	20:24	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	15:20	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4