Sport Picks
FK Smiltene vs Augsdaugavas
Latvia
Nakotnes liga 2025 Smiltenes pilsētas stadions, Smiltene 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
FK Smiltene in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Smiltene.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Smiltene have won more games recently than Augsdaugavas.
- Model gives FK Smiltene a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- FK Smiltene have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Smiltene | Augsdaugavas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Smiltene Compare
Augsdaugavas Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Augsdaugavas let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
FK Smiltene found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).
Difficult form: Augsdaugavas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FK Smiltene
(Home)Augsdaugavas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ogre United | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66:20 | 58 |
| 2 | Alberts JDFS | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 60:24 | 58 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 74:34 | 58 |
| 4 | JFK Ventspils | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:29 | 43 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 46:31 | 41 |
| 6 | Skanste | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:39 | 40 |
| 7 | Leevon PPK | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40:40 | 36 |
| 8 | Marupe | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 9 | Rezekne | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 36:57 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 46:48 | 28 |
| 11 | Riga FC 2 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 35:43 | 24 |
| 12 | Tukums 2000 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 37:60 | 23 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 39:88 | 22 |
| 14 | Augsdaugavas | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:58 | 14 |
