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FK Smiltene vs Balvu SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga 2019
FK Smiltene Logo

FK Smiltene

7 - 1
FT
Balvu SC Logo

Balvu SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between FK Smiltene and Balvu SC finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Smiltene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
0%
Balvu SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Smiltene carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Smiltene are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Smiltene have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene Balvu SC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 1.88 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.41 5.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:4
Aug 17, 2019 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Balvu SC
7:1
May 18, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:6
Sep 8, 2018 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:2
Jun 17, 2018 Latvian Cup
Balvu SC vs FK Smiltene
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 83 / 100
Balvu SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene Balvu SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balvu SC let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Balvu SC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FK Smiltene's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
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Balvu SC

(Away)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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