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FK Smiltene vs JFC Viola

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Teremko E.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Stipnieks E.

AI Match Summary

FK Smiltene in this Latvian Cup 2021 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FK Smiltene
30%
Draws
34%
JFC Viola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to JFC Viola lately — more wins on the board than FK Smiltene.
  • Win probability leans FK Smiltene's way, sitting at 36%.
  • JFC Viola arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Smiltene, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
JFC Viola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene JFC Viola
Matches Played 33 12
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 0
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2021 Latvian Cup
FK Smiltene vs JFC Viola
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Stipnieks E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

JFC Viola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 34 / 100
JFC Viola 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene JFC Viola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

JFC Viola let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

JFC Viola lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS JFC Viola
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1
FK Smiltene
28 Jun
FK Smiltene
2 : 4
Skanste
22 Jun
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
FK Smiltene
30 May
LSPA
1 : 5
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

JFC Viola

(Away)
30 May
JFC Viola
1 : 2
Marupe
17 May
Livani
4 : 0
JFC Viola
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
JFC Viola
3 : 4
JFK Daugava
13 May
RTU
0 : 3
JFC Viola
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas-
TBD-
TBD-
Preilu BJSS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
RTU1
JFC Viola2
TBD-
Riga United-
Sigulda-
TBD-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Valmiera-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Upesciems-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
Speks-
Jekabpils SC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Kalupe-
TBD-
TBD-
Kengaroos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
Saldus SS/Leevon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fk Jurnieks Riga-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite3
Dobele Allegro0
TBD-
TBD-
Skanste-
TBD-
TBD-
Gauja-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tente-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
Talsi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Caramba-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Alberts-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
Valka-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kuivizu Spartaks-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Limbazi-
Aliance-
TBD-
TBD-
Bebri-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bauskas / Memele-
TBD-
TBD-
Livani-
Salaspils FK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sports United/Cesis-
FK Varaklani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs-
TBD-
TBD-
Latgols / Ludza-
Albatroz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Karosta-
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas2
Preilu BJSS1
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
JFC Viola5
Riga United0
Sigulda4
DSVK Traktors3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Valmiera-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Upesciems-
TBD-
AFA Olaine0
Speks2
Jekabpils SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Kalupe4
Kengaroos5
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
Saldus SS/Leevon-
TBD-
TBD-
Fk Jurnieks Riga-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
SK Babite-
TBD-
Skanste5
Gauja1
TBD-
Tente-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe5
Talsi3
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Caramba2
FK Alberts0
Lielupe1
Valka3
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kuivizu Spartaks0
FK Limbazi10
Aliance4
Bebri2
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
Bauskas / Memele1
Livani5
Salaspils FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
Sports United/Cesis-
FK Varaklani-
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs1
Latgols / Ludza3
Albatroz-
TBD-
Plavinas0
FK Karosta1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas0
FK Smiltene6
JFC Viola5
Sigulda2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Valmiera-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Upesciems2
Speks4
Jekabpils SC0
Grobina2
Kengaroos0
Dinamo Riga2
Saldus SS/Leevon2
Fk Jurnieks Riga0
Alberts JDFS1
SK Babite0
Skanste4
Tente0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe1
FK Auda Riga4
Caramba11
Valka0
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Limbazi4
Aliance0
Tukums 20004
Livani0
Salaspils FK0
Rezekne7
Super Nova6
Sports United/Cesis0
FK Varaklani0
Latgols / Ludza5
Albatroz5
FK Karosta1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene2
JFC Viola0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Valmiera-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Speks4
Grobina2
Dinamo Riga9
Saldus SS/Leevon0
Alberts JDFS1
Skanste2
TBD-
RFS-
FK Metta-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga3
Caramba1
Riga FC-
TBD-
FK Limbazi0
Tukums 20002
Rezekne3
Super Nova1
Latgols / Ludza0
Albatroz1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene0
FK Liepaja3
Spartaks Jurmala0
BFC Daugavpils1
Valmiera-
TBD-
Speks0
Dinamo Riga2
Skanste0
RFS2
FK Metta1
FK Auda Riga3
Riga FC3
Tukums 20001
Rezekne0
Albatroz3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja1
BFC Daugavpils0
Valmiera5
Dinamo Riga0
RFS4
FK Auda Riga0
Riga FC3
Albatroz0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja2
Valmiera0
RFS3
Riga FC1
Final
FK Liepaja0
RFS1