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FK Smiltene vs JFC Viola

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Teremko E.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Stipnieks E.

AI Match Summary

FK Smiltene in this Latvian Cup 2021 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
42%
JFC Viola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Smiltene lately — more wins on the board than JFC Viola.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • FK Smiltene have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Smiltene, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
JFC Viola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene JFC Viola
Matches Played 35 12
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 0
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.54 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.6 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2021 Latvian Cup
FK Smiltene vs JFC Viola
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Stipnieks E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

JFC Viola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 30 / 100
JFC Viola 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene JFC Viola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

JFC Viola let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

JFC Viola lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS JFC Viola
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
Page 1 of 7

JFC Viola

(Away)
30 May
JFC Viola
1 : 2
Marupe
17 May
Livani
4 : 0
JFC Viola
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
JFC Viola
3 : 4
JFK Daugava
13 May
RTU
0 : 3
JFC Viola
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
TBD -
Riga United -
Sigulda -
TBD -
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DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe -
TBD -
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Kengaroos -
TBD -
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
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TBD -
SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
TBD -
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe -
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TBD -
Talsi -
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
TBD -
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FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
TBD -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
TBD -
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FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
TBD -
TBD -
Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
SK Babite -
TBD -
Skanste 5
Gauja 1
TBD -
Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
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TBD -
Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
TBD -
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FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1