Sport Picks
FK Smiltene vs New Project - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
1. Liga 2019 
AI Match Summary
FK Smiltene host New Project in the 1. Liga 2019. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: FK Smiltene at 1.69 goals for, 2.38 against; New Project at 1.23 for, 2.2 against. Head-to-head, FK Smiltene have won 3 to New Project's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2019, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.88, favoring FK Smiltene. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- New Project haven't matched FK Smiltene's recent run of results.
- 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- FK Smiltene have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Smiltene | New Project |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New Project let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: FK Smiltene scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
New Project lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FK Smiltene
(Home)New Project
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tukums 2000 | 27 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 112:14 | 74 |
| 2 | Super Nova | 27 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 95:27 | 58 |
| 3 | FK Smiltene | 27 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 78:52 | 53 |
| 4 | Alberts JDFS | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 70:47 | 51 |
| 5 | FK Auda Riga | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 62:51 | 45 |
| 6 | Rezekne | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 72:56 | 43 |
| 7 | Grobina | 27 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 56:104 | 30 |
| 8 | New Project | 27 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 35:62 | 20 |
| 9 | Dinamo Riga | 27 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 39:78 | 19 |
| 10 | Balvu SC | 27 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 23:151 | 3 |
