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FK Smiltene vs Preilu BJSS

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1. Liga 2017
FK Smiltene Logo

FK Smiltene

1 - 1
FT
Preilu BJSS Logo

Preilu BJSS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Liga 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
0%
Preilu BJSS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Smiltene have won more games recently than Preilu BJSS.
  • FK Smiltene are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Smiltene have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 14%
Preilu BJSS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene Preilu BJSS
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 1
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.36 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2018 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Preilu BJSS
3:2
May 27, 2018 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs FK Smiltene
0:4
Oct 21, 2017 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Preilu BJSS
1:1
Jul 22, 2017 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs FK Smiltene
1:3
Sep 10, 2016 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Preilu BJSS
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 48 / 100
Preilu BJSS 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene Preilu BJSS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Preilu BJSS let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Preilu BJSS registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FK Smiltene scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

Preilu BJSS

(Away)
03 Jul
Kadaga/Ostas
2 : 1
Preilu BJSS
13 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Preilu BJSS
07 Oct
Preilu BJSS
1 : 2
Grobina
29 Sept
Super Nova
3 : 2
Preilu BJSS
22 Sept
Preilu BJSS
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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