Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

FK Smiltene

2 - 2

Rezekne

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Zvirbulis K.

17'

Mikelsons M.

36'

Aogaki S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between FK Smiltene and Rezekne finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

FK Smiltene

39%

Draws

31%

Rezekne

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

FK Smiltene haven't matched Rezekne's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Smiltene	Rezekne
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	4	6
Draws	7	6
Losses	19	17
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.75	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Rezekne

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Jul 6, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sep 28, 2024 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Rezekne

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

3:3

May 25, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Oct 7, 2023 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikelsons M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jansons E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Aogaki S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sako A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 29 / 100

Rezekne 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Smiltene Rezekne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rezekne conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FK Smiltene found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Rezekne registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS Rezekne

1.13 Goals Scored 1.13

2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14