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FK Smiltene vs SK Babite

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2016
FK Smiltene Logo

FK Smiltene

1 - 3
FT
SK Babite Logo

SK Babite

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SK Babite in this 1. Liga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SK Babite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
42%
SK Babite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Smiltene lately — more wins on the board than SK Babite.
  • Model gives SK Babite a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SK Babite here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 14%
SK Babite Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene SK Babite
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 6 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2016 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs SK Babite
1:3
Apr 30, 2016 1. Liga
SK Babite vs FK Smiltene
2:0
Jul 8, 2015 Latvian Cup
SK Babite vs FK Smiltene
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 23 / 100
SK Babite 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene SK Babite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SK Babite Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Babite's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 13 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

FK Smiltene's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SK Babite lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

SK Babite

(Away)
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
17 Jul
Alberts JDFS
1 : 0
SK Babite
27 Jun
SK Babite
3 : 0
Dobele Allegro
16 Jun
Super Nova
2 : 1
SK Babite
29 May
AFA Olaine
1 : 5
SK Babite
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Babite 28 26 0 2 102:25 78
2 AFA Olaine 28 20 2 6 74:21 62
3 FK Auda Riga 28 20 1 7 79:42 61
4 Valmiera 28 19 0 9 81:29 57
5 Rezekne 28 18 1 9 103:47 55
6 Tukums 2000 28 16 2 10 100:59 50
7 FK Smiltene 28 15 3 10 74:47 48
8 Skonto 28 16 2 10 71:40 42
9 RTU 28 13 3 12 59:46 42
10 Bebri 28 10 2 16 48:73 32
11 Alberts JDFS 28 9 2 17 32:61 29
12 Ogre 28 7 1 20 37:70 22
13 Preilu BJSS 28 5 1 22 28:92 16
14 Jekabpils SC 28 4 2 22 32:138 14
15 Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 28 1 0 27 13:143 3
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