Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Ticha vs Septemvri Tervel

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Ticha in this Third League - North-East 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Ticha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Ticha
20%
Draws
80%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Tervel lately — more wins on the board than FK Ticha.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Tervel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FK Ticha Clean Sheet 11%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Ticha Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 37 49
Wins 15 33
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.35 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs FK Ticha
3:0
Oct 30, 2015 Third League - North-East
FK Ticha vs Septemvri Tervel
2:1
May 17, 2015 Third League - North-East
FK Ticha vs Septemvri Tervel
2:1
Nov 9, 2014 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs FK Ticha
2:1
Mar 2, 2014 Third League - North-East
FK Ticha vs Septemvri Tervel
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Ticha 10 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Ticha Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FK Ticha's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Septemvri Tervel let in goals in 49% of their last 49 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Septemvri Tervel
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Ticha

(Home)
22 May
FK Ticha
0 : 3
Marisan
15 May
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
FK Ticha
08 May
FK Ticha
0 : 3
Inter Plachidol
30 Apr
Botev Novi Pazar
3 : 0
FK Ticha
24 Apr
FK Ticha
0 : 3
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 8

Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 30 28 1 1 121:11 85
2 Chernomorets Balchik 30 24 4 2 85:14 76
3 Kaliakra 30 23 3 4 93:21 72
4 Suvorovo 30 19 2 9 47:38 59
5 FK Ticha 30 17 2 11 59:38 53
6 Benkovski Byala 30 15 4 11 46:39 49
7 Septemvri Tervel 30 15 1 14 43:46 46
8 Kubrat 30 14 3 13 48:45 45
9 Svetkavitsa 30 14 3 13 42:44 45
10 Botev Novi Pazar 30 12 2 16 45:61 38
11 Belitsa 30 10 4 16 39:58 34
12 Shumen 1929 30 9 5 16 41:52 32
13 Dve Mogili 30 6 4 20 19:53 22
14 Chernomorets Byala 30 6 3 21 25:68 21
15 Provadia 30 4 1 25 30:109 13
16 Dorostol 30 2 2 26 12:98 8
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)