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FK Tosno vs Kursk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Gurfov A.
66' Event
Galiulin V.

AI Match Summary

FK Tosno in this Club Friendly 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Tosno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FK Tosno
20%
Draws
36%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Tosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • FK Tosno have won more games recently than Kursk.
  • Model gives FK Tosno a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FK Tosno have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FK Tosno Clean Sheet 68%
Kursk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Tosno Kursk
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2018 Russian Cup
FK Tosno vs Kursk
2:1
Feb 20, 2018 Club Friendly
FK Tosno vs Kursk
1:0
Feb 3, 2018 Club Friendly
Kursk vs FK Tosno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Tosno Compare

Top Goalscorer Galiulin V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kursk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Tosno 50 / 100
Kursk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Tosno Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Tosno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

FK Tosno's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FK Tosno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Tosno VS Kursk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Tosno

(Home)
12 Aug
FK Tosno
0 : 1
Cherepovets
29 Jul
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie
0 : 3
FK Tosno
13 May
Ufa
5 : 0
FK Tosno
09 May
FK Tosno
2 : 1
Kursk
05 May
FK Tosno
1 : 2
Dynamo Moscow
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Kursk

(Away)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1
R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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