Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Skvortsov A.
Assist: Zhigulev I.
16'
16'
Kireev I.
Assist: Alshin I.
56'
56'
Buyvolov A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with FK Tosno advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Tosno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- FK Tosno carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans FK Tosno's way, sitting at 40%.
- FK Tosno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FK Tosno, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- FK Tosno have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FK Tosno Clean Sheet 68%
Kursk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Tosno | Kursk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2018 Russian Cup
FK Tosno vs Kursk
2:1
Feb 20, 2018 Club Friendly
FK Tosno vs Kursk
1:0
Feb 3, 2018 Club Friendly
Kursk vs FK Tosno
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Tosno Compare
Top Goalscorer Skvortsov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mirzov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Kursk Compare
Top Goalscorer Kireev I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Tosno 50 / 100
Kursk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Tosno Kursk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Tosno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kursk has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
FK Tosno found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: FK Tosno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Tosno VS Kursk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Tosno
(Home) 12 Aug
FK Tosno
0 : 1 Cherepovets
29 Jul
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie
0 : 3 FK Tosno
13 May
Ufa
5 : 0 FK Tosno
09 May
FK Tosno
2 : 1 Kursk
05 May
FK Tosno
1 : 2 Dynamo Moscow
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
FK Tosno
0 : 1 Cherepovets
09 May
FK Tosno
2 : 1 Kursk
05 May
FK Tosno
1 : 2 Dynamo Moscow
22 Apr
FK Tosno
0 : 2 Amkar
08 Apr
FK Tosno
2 : 2 Ural
Page 1 of 3
Kursk
(Away) 04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0 Kursk
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1 R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1 Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3 Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2 FC Oryol
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0 Kursk
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1 Kursk
22 Aug
M. Lipetsk
2 : 1 Kursk
09 Aug
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1 Kursk
20 Jun
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0 Kursk
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Dynamo Petersburg (inactive) 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow 0
TBD -
Zenit St Petersburg -
Ararat Moscow 2
Baltika 1
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1
Vladimir 0
TBD -
Ufa -
Ural -
TBD -
Khimki 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2
Kursk 1
D. Bryansk 0
TBD -
CSKA Moscow -
Arsenal Tula -
TBD -
FC Energomash Belgorod 0
FC Tambov 1
FK Rostov -
TBD -
R. Volgograd 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
Fakel Voronezh 1
Znamya Truda 0
TBD -
Amkar -
Spartak Moscow -
TBD -
Armavir 0
Kuban Krasnodar 1
Dynamo Moscow -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 1
Spartak Nalchik 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Syzran 0
TBD -
Lokomotiv Moscow -
Orenburg 3
Saratov 1
TBD -
Rubin Kazan -
Tomsk 4
Irtysh Omsk 0
TBD -
Krasnodar -
Tyumen 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 1
TBD -
FK Tosno -
Yenisey 2
Chita 1
TBD -
Akhmat Grozny -
Anzhi -
TBD -
Smena Komsomolsk 0
Luch Vladivostok 1
1/16-finals
Dynamo Petersburg (inactive) 3
Zenit St Petersburg 2
Ararat Moscow 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2
Ufa 1
Ural 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 3
Kursk 1
CSKA Moscow 0
Arsenal Tula 0
FC Tambov 1
FK Rostov 2
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0
Fakel Voronezh 0
Amkar 4
Spartak Moscow 2
Kuban Krasnodar 0
Dynamo Moscow 0
Spartak Nalchik 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara 3
Lokomotiv Moscow 2
Orenburg 0
Rubin Kazan 2
Tomsk 2
Krasnodar 1
Tyumen 1
FK Tosno 2
Yenisey 3
Akhmat Grozny 0
Anzhi 0
Luch Vladivostok 2
1/8-finals
Dynamo Petersburg (inactive) 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 4
Kursk 2
FC Tambov 0
FK Rostov 1
Amkar 2
Spartak Moscow 5
Spartak Nalchik 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Rubin Kazan 1
Tomsk 0
FK Tosno 1
Yenisey 1
Luch Vladivostok 2
Quarter-finals
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Kursk 1
Amkar 0
Spartak Moscow 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara 1
FK Tosno 2
Luch Vladivostok 1
Semi-finals
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0
Kursk 1
Spartak Moscow 1
FK Tosno 2
Final
Kursk 1
FK Tosno 2
