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FK Tver vs Cherepovets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Tver host Cherepovets in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: FK Tver at 1 goals for, 1.63 against; Cherepovets at 1.25 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor FK Tver slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward Cherepovets. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FK Tver
11%
Draws
9%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FK Tver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherepovets lately — more wins on the board than FK Tver.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on FK Tver taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Tver Clean Sheet 16%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Tver Cherepovets
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FK Tver
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs Cherepovets
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FK Tver
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Tver 75 / 100
Cherepovets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Tver Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Tver's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cherepovets has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Cherepovets registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Tver VS Cherepovets
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Tver

(Home)
04 Jul
Iskra Smolensk
2 : 4
FK Tver
28 Jun
FK Tver
1 : 0
FC Murom
21 Jun
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
FK Tver
14 Jun
FK Tver
1 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
07 Jun
Vladimir
2 : 0
FK Tver
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Cherepovets

(Away)
05 Jul
Luki-Energiya
3 : 0
Cherepovets
28 Jun
Cherepovets
0 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
21 Jun
Vladimir
1 : 0
Cherepovets
14 Jun
Cherepovets
1 : 2
FC Irkutsk
07 Jun
Dynamo Vologda
2 : 2
Cherepovets
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