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Stadium Background

FK Tver vs Cherepovets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kopylov R.
21' Event
Kovalchuk A.
33'
Dudkin K.

AI Match Summary

FK Tver in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Tver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Tver
30%
Draws
23%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Tver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherepovets lately — more wins on the board than FK Tver.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on FK Tver taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FK Tver Clean Sheet 68%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Tver Cherepovets
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs Cherepovets
5:0
Apr 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FK Tver
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs Cherepovets
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FK Tver
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Tver Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopylov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalchuk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cherepovets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Tver 50 / 100
Cherepovets 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Tver Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Tver Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Tver's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cherepovets has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

FK Tver has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Tver VS Cherepovets
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Tver

(Home)
13 Sept
FK Tver
2 : 0
Dynamo Vologda
05 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 1
FK Tver
30 Aug
FK Tver
1 : 1
Yenisey 2
23 Aug
FC Chertanovo Moscow
4 : 0
FK Tver
16 Aug
FK Tver
1 : 0
Kosmos
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Cherepovets

(Away)
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
30 Aug
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Kosmos
27 Aug
Luki-Energiya
4 : 1
Cherepovets
22 Aug
Dynamo Petersburg
0 : 0
Cherepovets
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