Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Union / JFK Daugava vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Svans S.
Assist: Michael-Adewumi D.
14' Event
Svans S.
Assist: Ivanovs M.
40' Event
Svans S.

AI Match Summary

FK Union / JFK Daugava in this Latvian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
FK Union / JFK Daugava
15%
Draws
10%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Union / JFK Daugava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / Very High Confidence
  • Rezekne have won more games recently than FK Union / JFK Daugava.
  • Model gives FK Union / JFK Daugava a 75% chance of winning this.
  • Rezekne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Union / JFK Daugava, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Union / JFK Daugava Clean Sheet 10%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Union / JFK Daugava Rezekne
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 22
Goals Scored 2.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Latvian Cup
FK Union / JFK Daugava vs Rezekne
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Union / JFK Daugava Compare

Top Goalscorer Svans S.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Union / JFK Daugava 83 / 100
Rezekne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Union / JFK Daugava Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Union / JFK Daugava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rezekne conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

FK Union / JFK Daugava scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Away concern: Rezekne has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Union / JFK Daugava VS Rezekne
0 Goals Scored 0.88
6 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Union / JFK Daugava

(Home)
31 May
Speks
6 : 0
FK Union / JFK Daugava
20 Jun
FK Union / JFK Daugava
1 : 3
JFK Ventspils
01 Jun
FK Union / JFK Daugava
4 : 0
Rezekne
17 May
FK Union / JFK Daugava
5 : 0
Lielupe

Rezekne

(Away)
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Speks -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
Riga United -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
Iecava -
TBD -
TBD -
Kekava-Auda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
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TBD -
Grobina -
Livani -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Viola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciema Warriors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 8
FK Limbazi 0
TBD -
FK Cesis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas -
TBD -
TBD -
Namejs -
Rigas Futbola Skola -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augsdaugavas -
RSU -
TBD -
TBD -
LSPA -
Kuldigas/Goldingen -
TBD -
TBD -
Salaspils FK -
Dienvidkurzemes -
TBD -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leevon PPK -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Talsi 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
Valka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFK Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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RFS -
Speks 4
FK Alberts 3
Riga United 6
SK Babite 0
Iecava 1
Kekava-Auda 2
TBD -
Marupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Grobina -
Livani 4
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks 0
Upesciema Warriors 5
TBD -
Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 6
FK Cesis 0
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas 4
Namejs 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 8
Bauskas / Memele 0
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Augsdaugavas -
RSU 5
LSPA 1
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
Salaspils FK 3
Dienvidkurzemes 3
DSVK Traktors 0
TBD -
Leevon PPK -
TBD -
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 5
Lielupe 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
Aliance 9
Valka 1
TBD -
JFK Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Speks 0
Riga United 3
Kekava-Auda 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Livani 0
Skanste 5
Alberts JDFS 5
FK Smiltene 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Upesciema Warriors 0
Riga Mariners 3
Valmiera 4
Ogre United 3
Plavinas 3
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
AFA Olaine 3
Augsdaugavas 1
RSU 0
Salaspils FK 6
Dienvidkurzemes 1
Leevon PPK 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 4
Rezekne 0
Aliance 0
JFK Ventspils 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga United 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Skanste 1
Alberts JDFS 2
TBD -
Super Nova -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Riga Mariners 4
Valmiera 3
Plavinas 3
AFA Olaine 5
Salaspils FK 4
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 1
JFK Ventspils 3
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 0
RFS 1
Marupe 1
FK Metta 4
FK Auda Riga 1
Grobina 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Super Nova 3
Riga FC 4
Tukums 2000 0
Riga Mariners 6
AFA Olaine 1
Leevon PPK 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
JFK Ventspils 0
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
RFS 3
FK Metta 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Super Nova 1
Riga FC 10
Riga Mariners 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 2
Semi-finals
RFS 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 1