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FK Union vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riga Mariners in this Latvian Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FK Union
15%
Draws
68%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than FK Union.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • Riga Mariners arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga Mariners, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FK Union Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Union Riga Mariners
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 1 18
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.48
Goals Conceded 4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Latvian Cup
FK Union vs Riga Mariners
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Union 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Union Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga Mariners let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FK Union scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Recent resilience: FK Union stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Riga Mariners
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Union

(Home)
05 May
FK Union
0 : 2
Riga Mariners
10 Jun
FK Union
0 : 10
Alberts JDFS
28 May
FK Union
4 : 1
Dobele Allegro
07 May
Sigulda
3 : 2
FK Union

Riga Mariners

(Away)
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3
Riga Mariners
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Upesciema Warriors -
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Bebri 3
JFC Viola 2
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK -
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Livani -
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Grobina -
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Valka -
Sports United/Cesis -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Riga FC -
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LSPA -
Riga United -
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Kadaga/Ostas -
Dinamo Riga -
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Iecava -
FK Union 0
Riga Mariners 2
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RSU -
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS -
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Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
DSVK Traktors -
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Plavinas -
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Kekava-Auda -
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele -
FK Alberts -
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Rezekne -
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Jules Verne -
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FK Cesis -
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance -
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FK Limbazi -
1/64-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK -
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Upesciema Warriors 3
Bebri 1
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK 7
Livani 2
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Grobina -
Lielupe 5
Valka 1
Sports United/Cesis 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 12
Super Nova -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Riga FC -
Sigulda 0
LSPA 5
Riga United 3
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Dinamo Riga 1
Iecava 3
Riga Mariners 4
RSU 1
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS 4
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
DSVK Traktors 1
Plavinas 2
Talsi 3
Kekava-Auda 4
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele 4
FK Alberts 0
Rezekne -
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Jules Verne 2
FK Cesis 3
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance 20
FK Limbazi 0
1/32-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 4
Upesciema Warriors 0
Skanste 6
Salaspils FK 1
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Grobina -
Lielupe 1
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Super Nova 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 2
Riga United 0
Iecava 1
Riga Mariners 3
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FK Metta -
Ogre United 2
Marupe 7
Madona/BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 6
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
Plavinas 0
Kekava-Auda 5
Alberts JDFS 5
Bauskas / Memele 0
Rezekne 5
FK Cesis 0
AFA Olaine 3
Aliance 0
1/16-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
RFS -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 2
Skanste 1
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Grobina -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 0
Riga Mariners 5
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FK Metta -
Marupe 3
FK Smiltene 1
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FK Auda Riga -
Jelgava -
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FK Liepaja -
Kekava-Auda 3
Alberts JDFS 4
Rezekne 1
AFA Olaine 5
1/8-finals
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 3
RFS 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Leevon PPK 2
Grobina 1
JFK Ventspils 0
Riga FC 3
Riga Mariners 0
FK Metta 4
Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Jelgava 2
FK Liepaja 4
Alberts JDFS 1
AFA Olaine 2
Quarter-finals
Valmiera 3
RFS 4
Leevon PPK 0
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 2
FK Liepaja 1
AFA Olaine 0
Semi-finals
RFS 2
Riga FC 1
FK Auda Riga 3
FK Liepaja 0
Final
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 2