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FK Yangiyer vs Aral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Yangiyer in this Pro Liga 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Yangiyer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FK Yangiyer
20%
Draws
52%
Aral
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aral lately — more wins on the board than FK Yangiyer.
  • Win probability leans Aral's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Yangiyer have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FK Yangiyer Clean Sheet 12%
Aral Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Yangiyer Aral
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2022 Pro Liga
FK Yangiyer vs Aral
3:0
Oct 22, 2022 Pro Liga
Aral vs FK Yangiyer
0:3
Sep 10, 2022 Pro Liga
FK Yangiyer vs Aral
9:0
May 21, 2022 Pro Liga
Aral vs FK Yangiyer
1:4
Sep 4, 2021 Pro Liga
FK Yangiyer vs Aral
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Yangiyer 19 / 100
Aral 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Yangiyer Aral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

FK Yangiyer found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Aral has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: FK Yangiyer remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aral
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Yangiyer

(Home)
15 Nov
FK Yangiyer
3 : 0
Aral
10 Nov
Zaamin
3 : 0
FK Yangiyer
06 Nov
FK Yangiyer
1 : 1
Shortan Guzor
02 Nov
Gijduvon
4 : 2
FK Yangiyer
22 Oct
Aral
0 : 3
FK Yangiyer
Page 1 of 6

Aral

(Away)
08 Oct
Aral
3 : 0
TerDU
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 14 11 1 2 34:7 34
2 Din. Samarkand 14 9 1 4 22:20 28
3 Buxoro 14 7 3 4 22:12 24
4 Olympic 14 6 4 4 24:11 22
5 Xorazm Urganch 14 3 6 5 21:23 15
6 FK Yangiyer 14 4 2 8 12:22 14
7 Aral 14 3 4 7 15:27 13
8 Shortan Guzor 14 2 1 11 5:33 7
9 Oktepa Tashkent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Istiklol Fergana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Pro Liga 2021 (Promotion)