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Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati Prediction & H2H Stats

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Primus League 2025/2026 game between Flambeau du Centre and Musongati finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musongati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Flambeau du Centre
35%
Draws
26%
Musongati
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Flambeau du Centre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Musongati carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Flambeau du Centre's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Flambeau du Centre Clean Sheet 20%
Musongati Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flambeau du Centre Musongati
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.19 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Primus League
Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primus League
Musongati vs Flambeau du Centre
0:0
May 24, 2025 Coupe du President
Musongati vs Flambeau du Centre
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Primus League
Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati
0:0
Nov 13, 2024 Primus League
Musongati vs Flambeau du Centre
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flambeau du Centre 49 / 100
Musongati 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flambeau du Centre Musongati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flambeau du Centre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flambeau du Centre found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Flambeau du Centre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Musongati registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Musongati has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flambeau du Centre VS Musongati
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flambeau du Centre

(Home)
04 Oct
Bumamuru
0 : 1
Flambeau du Centre
29 Aug
Royal Vision
2 : 1
Flambeau du Centre
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
16 Aug
Kayanza United
0 : 0
Flambeau du Centre
09 May
Rukinzo
1 : 1
Flambeau du Centre
Page 1 of 6

Musongati

(Away)
03 Oct
Never Give Up Academy
0 : 2
Musongati
20 Sept
Musongati
0 : 3
Muzinga
28 Aug
Bumamuru
2 : 0
Musongati
19 Aug
Musongati
0 : 0
Rukinzo
15 Aug
Royal Vision
2 : 1
Musongati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
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