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Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flambeau du Centre play Ngozi City in the Primus League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flambeau du Centre averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Ngozi City averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Flambeau du Centre won 3, Ngozi City won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Flambeau du Centre and 1.88 for Ngozi City. This points to a Flambeau du Centre double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Flambeau du Centre
28%
Draws
27%
Ngozi City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Flambeau du Centre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Flambeau du Centre picked up more points recently compared to Ngozi City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Flambeau du Centre Clean Sheet 10%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flambeau du Centre Ngozi City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primus League
Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Flambeau du Centre
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Primus League
Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City
8:0
Sep 21, 2024 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Flambeau du Centre
2:1
Jun 23, 2020 Primus League
Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flambeau du Centre 43 / 100
Ngozi City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flambeau du Centre Ngozi City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flambeau du Centre or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flambeau du Centre attacking → ← attacking Ngozi City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flambeau du Centre scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ngozi City let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Flambeau du Centre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ngozi City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 33
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847