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Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Everton Heleno

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Flamengo PI
35%
Draws
32%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial PI have won more games recently than Flamengo PI.
  • Model gives Flamengo PI a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Comercial PI arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Comercial PI, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Flamengo PI Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo PI Comercial PI
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
2:2
Oct 1, 2026 Piauiense 2
Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Piauiense 2
Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Heleno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Comercial PI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo PI 40 / 100
Comercial PI 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo PI Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Flamengo PI remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Flamengo PI scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo PI VS Comercial PI
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo PI

(Home)
07 Oct
Comercial PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Picos
2 : 0
Flamengo PI
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
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Comercial PI

(Away)
07 Oct
Comercial PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comercial PI 2
Flamengo PI 3
Picos 2
River-PI 3
Final
Flamengo PI -
River-PI -