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River-PI vs Flamengo PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Flamengo PI have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while River-PI have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.4. Head-to-head, River-PI have won 2 to Flamengo PI's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Flamengo PI to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
River-PI
35%
Draws
32%
Flamengo PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and River-PI come out ahead of Flamengo PI on wins alone.
  • River-PI are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • River-PI have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo PI, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Flamengo PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Flamengo PI
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.4 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Flamengo PI
2:2
Mar 6, 2022 Piauiense
River-PI vs Flamengo PI
5:1
Jan 29, 2022 Piauiense
Flamengo PI vs River-PI
0:1
Apr 25, 2021 Piauiense
Flamengo PI vs River-PI
3:2
Feb 28, 2021 Piauiense
River-PI vs Flamengo PI
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 42 / 100
Flamengo PI 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Flamengo PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

River-PI found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Flamengo PI let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

River-PI has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Flamengo PI
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
07 Oct
Picos
1 : 1
River-PI
30 Sept
River-PI
2 : 1
Picos
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo PI

(Away)
07 Oct
Comercial PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Picos
2 : 0
Flamengo PI
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comercial PI 2
Flamengo PI 3
Picos 2
River-PI 3
Final
Flamengo PI -
River-PI -