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Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sayago J.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Jheferson
77' Event
Rafinha

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Flamengo RJ U20
35%
Draws
16%
Nova Iguacu U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Flamengo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flamengo RJ U20 lately — more wins on the board than Nova Iguacu U20.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Flamengo RJ U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Flamengo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ U20 Nova Iguacu U20
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Carioca U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
3:1
Mar 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
4:0
Sep 17, 2025 Carioca U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Carioca U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jheferson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ U20 85 / 100
Nova Iguacu U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ U20 Nova Iguacu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ U20 scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Nova Iguacu U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Flamengo RJ U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ U20 VS Nova Iguacu U20
3.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ U20

(Home)
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
26 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
19 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
12 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
6 : 2
Volta Redonda U20
08 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
6 : 0
Forte U20
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Nova Iguacu U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
05 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)