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Stadium Background

Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sayago J.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Jheferson
77' Event
Rafinha

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ U20 in this Copa Rio U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo RJ U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Flamengo RJ U20
11%
Draws
9%
Nova Iguacu U20
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Flamengo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flamengo RJ U20 lately — more wins on the board than Nova Iguacu U20.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Rio U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Flamengo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ U20 Nova Iguacu U20
Matches Played 47 31
Wins 27 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
4:0
Sep 17, 2025 Carioca U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Carioca U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Flamengo RJ U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jheferson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ U20 76 / 100
Nova Iguacu U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ U20 Nova Iguacu U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ U20 scored in 89% of their last 47 games.

Recent resilience: Flamengo RJ U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nova Iguacu U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ U20 VS Nova Iguacu U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113