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Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Piovi L.
37'
Meza E.
48'
Evertton Araujo

AI Match Summary

The Copa Libertadores game between Flamengo RJ and Estudiantes L.P. finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Flamengo RJ
6%
Draws
4%
Estudiantes L.P.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Libertadores fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Estudiantes L.P.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
Estudiantes L.P. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Estudiantes L.P.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flamengo RJ scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Flamengo RJ has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Estudiantes L.P. let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Estudiantes L.P.
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130