Sport Picks

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Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ host Fluminense in the Serie A Betano. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Fluminense have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Flamengo RJ have conceded 0.78 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Flamengo RJ slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.25, favoring Flamengo RJ. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Flamengo RJ
15%
Draws
35%
Fluminense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Flamengo RJ are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 19%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Fluminense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 21 14
Draws 8 12
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Carioca
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Carioca
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Nov 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 67 / 100
Fluminense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Fluminense
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
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Fluminense

(Away)
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)