Sport Picks
Flamengo RJ vs Gremio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro 
Match Events
20'
20'
Lino S.
28'
28'
Pedro
Assist: Carrascal J.
45'
45'
Pedro
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Flamengo RJ and Gremio finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo RJ.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo RJ
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ come out ahead of Gremio on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flamengo RJ | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 36 |
| Wins | 22 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2026 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Gremio
3:1
May 10, 2026 Serie A
Gremio vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Gremio
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A
Gremio vs Flamengo RJ
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie A
Gremio vs Flamengo RJ
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flamengo RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro
2 Goals Assists Leader Lino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gremio Compare
Top Goalscorer Amuzu F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flamengo RJ 85 / 100
Gremio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flamengo RJ Gremio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Flamengo RJ found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).
Defensive concern: Gremio conceded in 67% of 36 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Flamengo RJ has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Flamengo RJ VS Gremio
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Flamengo RJ
(Home) 04 Nov
Flamengo RJ
3 : 1 Gremio
29 Oct
Vasco
1 : 4 Flamengo RJ
26 Oct
Flamengo RJ
3 : 2 Atletico-MG
23 Oct
Flamengo RJ
0 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 7
04 Nov
Flamengo RJ
3 : 1 Gremio
26 Oct
Flamengo RJ
3 : 2 Atletico-MG
23 Oct
Flamengo RJ
0 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
11 Oct
Flamengo RJ
1 : 0 Fluminense
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Bragantino
Page 1 of 4
Gremio
(Away) 04 Nov
Flamengo RJ
3 : 1 Gremio
01 Nov
Gremio
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
30 Oct
Gremio
2 : 0 Athletico-PR
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1 Gremio
18 Oct
Gremio
2 : 4 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 8
04 Nov
Flamengo RJ
3 : 1 Gremio
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1 Gremio
07 Oct
Remo
1 : 1 Gremio
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0 Gremio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
