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Flamengo RJ vs Ind. Medellin

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lucas Paqueta
Assist: Ayrton Lucas
40' Event
Gonzalez Y.
Assist: Serna A.
45' Event
Bruno Henrique
Assist: de Arrascaeta G.

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ in this Copa Libertadores matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Flamengo RJ
22%
Draws
18%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Flamengo RJ a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Medellin vs Flamengo RJ
0:3
Apr 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Ind. Medellin
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Paqueta
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 68 / 100
Ind. Medellin 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Flamengo RJ has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ind. Medellin conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Ind. Medellin
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130