Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro

Flamengo RJ

4 - 1

Ind. Medellin

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Lucas Paqueta

Assist: Ayrton Lucas

40'

Gonzalez Y.

Assist: Serna A.

45'

Bruno Henrique

Assist: de Arrascaeta G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Flamengo RJ

30%

Draws

19%

Ind. Medellin

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Ind. Medellin haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
Model gives Flamengo RJ a 51% chance of winning this.
Flamengo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Flamengo RJ	Ind. Medellin
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	20	14
Draws	8	5
Losses	3	9
Goals Scored	1.97	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.81	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Ind. Medellin vs Flamengo RJ

0:3

Apr 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Flamengo RJ vs Ind. Medellin

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Paqueta

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bruno Henrique

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 86 / 100

Ind. Medellin 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Flamengo RJ Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flamengo RJ scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ind. Medellin has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Ind. Medellin

1.63 Goals Scored 1.75

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)

20 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 1

Bragantino

18 Sept

Flamengo RJ

1 : 1

Independiente del Valle

13 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 1

Corinthians

11 Sept

Independiente del Valle

0 : 2

Flamengo RJ

06 Sept

Remo

0 : 1

Flamengo RJ

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Ind. Medellin

(Away)

06 Oct

Ind. Medellin

0 : 1

Santa Fe

30 Sept

Ind. Medellin

2 : 2

Millonarios

27 Sept

Junior

2 : 0

Ind. Medellin

22 Sept

Ind. Medellin

2 : 1

Jaguares de Cordoba

18 Sept

Bucaramanga

2 : 2

Ind. Medellin

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