Sport Picks
Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del Valle
South America
Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro 
Match Events
31'
31'
Reasco D.
53'
53'
Lucas Paqueta
55'
55'
Jorginho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo RJ
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than Flamengo RJ.
- Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 80%.
- Independiente del Valle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flamengo RJ | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 22 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del Valle
1:1
Sep 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo RJ
0:2
Mar 1, 2023 Recopa Sudamericana
Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del Valle
1:1
Feb 22, 2023 Recopa Sudamericana
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo RJ
1:0
Oct 1, 2020 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del Valle
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flamengo RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer de Arrascaeta G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Independiente del Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Reasco D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flamengo RJ 86 / 100
Independiente del Valle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flamengo RJ Independiente del Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Flamengo RJ found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Flamengo RJ stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Independiente del Valle let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Flamengo RJ VS Independiente del Valle
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Flamengo RJ
(Home) 20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0 Mirassol
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 4
Independiente del Valle
(Away) 18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
22 Aug
Leones del Norte
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
