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Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Leo Pereira
Assist: Jorginho
58'
Sub
Lorran In: de Arrascaeta G.
Out: Lorran
63'
Alex Sandro

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Flamengo RJ
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ have won more games recently than Sao Paulo.
  • Model gives Flamengo RJ a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Sao Paulo
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo
1:1
Jan 29, 2026 Serie A Betano
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Nov 6, 2025 Serie A Betano
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Calleri J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 85 / 100
Sao Paulo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Sao Paulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Sao Paulo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
26 Jul
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Sao Paulo
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4
Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Jul
Benfica
1 : 2
Flamengo RJ
08 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Lausanne
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Sao Paulo

(Away)
26 Jul
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Sao Paulo
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
31 May
Remo
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
26 May
Sao Paulo
2 : 0
Boston River
23 May
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Botafogo RJ
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras20135234:1644
2Flamengo RJ19115336:1738
3Athletico-PR20113628:1936
4Fluminense2096530:2533
5Bragantino2094726:2031
6Bahia2087529:2531
7Botafogo RJ2085734:3229
8Atletico-MG2084825:2528
9Corinthians2077622:2028
10Coritiba2076725:2727
11Cruzeiro2076726:3027
12Sao Paulo2075825:2326
13Vitoria2075822:2726
14Santos2057829:3322
15Gremio2057822:2622
16Internacional2056922:2621
17Vasco2056923:3121
18Remo2056923:3221
19Mirassol1955921:2620
20Chapecoense-SC20171219:4110
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)