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Flamengo SE vs CS Maruinense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Flamengo SE and CS Maruinense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Flamengo SE
15%
Draws
85%
CS Maruinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CS Maruinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo SE come out ahead of CS Maruinense on wins alone.
  • CS Maruinense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Flamengo SE Clean Sheet 16%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SE CS Maruinense
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.09 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2024 Sergipano 2
CS Maruinense vs Flamengo SE
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs CS Maruinense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SE 10 / 100
CS Maruinense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SE CS Maruinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Maruinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Maruinense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Flamengo SE scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: CS Maruinense has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SE VS CS Maruinense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SE

(Home)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1
Flamengo SE
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
09 Oct
Flamengo SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 5

CS Maruinense

(Away)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)