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Flamengo SE vs Frei Paulistano

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Flamengo SE and Frei Paulistano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frei Paulistano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Flamengo SE
6%
Draws
90%
Frei Paulistano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Frei Paulistano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Frei Paulistano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Frei Paulistano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Flamengo SE Clean Sheet 11%
Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SE Frei Paulistano
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 9 17
Draws 1 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs Frei Paulistano
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SE 10 / 100
Frei Paulistano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SE Frei Paulistano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Flamengo SE's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Frei Paulistano let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Frei Paulistano has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SE VS Frei Paulistano
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju981026:325
2Atletico Gloriense971122:222
3Olimpico EC971122:522
4Frei Paulistano951320:916
5Caninde941414:2013
6America de Pedrinhas93249:1511
7Atletico Central92167:177
8Flamengo SE92078:166
9Independente SE91266:235
10Boca Junior91084:280