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Stadium Background

Flamengo SE vs Independente SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo SE in this Sergipano 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Flamengo SE
30%
Draws
34%
Independente SE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo SE have won more games recently than Independente SE.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Flamengo SE taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Flamengo SE Clean Sheet 20%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SE Independente SE
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 9 5
Draws 1 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2025 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs Independente SE
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs Independente SE
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SE 36 / 100
Independente SE 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SE Independente SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 22 matches.

Attacking prowess: Flamengo SE scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Independente SE lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SE VS Independente SE
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SE

(Home)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1
Flamengo SE
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
09 Oct
Flamengo SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 5

Independente SE

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0
Independente SE
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju981026:325
2Atletico Gloriense971122:222
3Olimpico EC971122:522
4Frei Paulistano951320:916
5Caninde941414:2013
6America de Pedrinhas93249:1511
7Atletico Central92167:177
8Flamengo SE92078:166
9Independente SE91266:235
10Boca Junior91084:280
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