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Flamengo SP vs Audax-SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Richard
75' Event
Facundini T.
(Penalty)
78' Event
Facundini T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Flamengo SP
15%
Draws
21%
Audax-SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Audax-SP haven't matched Flamengo SP's recent run of results.
  • Flamengo SP are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Flamengo SP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo SP, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SP Audax-SP
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Audax-SP
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 Paulista B
Audax-SP vs Flamengo SP
0:0
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Audax-SP vs Flamengo SP
0:1
May 16, 2026 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Audax-SP
2:1
Mar 28, 2010 Paulista A2
Flamengo SP vs Audax-SP
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Facundini T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Audax-SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SP 50 / 100
Audax-SP 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SP Audax-SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SP scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Audax-SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Flamengo SP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SP VS Audax-SP
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SP

(Home)
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
Page 1 of 6

Audax-SP

(Away)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3