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Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo SP in this Paulista A4 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Flamengo SP
15%
Draws
31%
Guarulhos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Guarulhos haven't matched Flamengo SP's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 17%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SP Guarulhos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
0:0
May 18, 2025 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP
0:2
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SP 31 / 100
Guarulhos 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SP Guarulhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SP scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Guarulhos let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Flamengo SP has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SP VS Guarulhos
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SP

(Home)
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
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Guarulhos

(Away)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams